Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.030394 0.032707 0.035019 0.037501 0.040087 0.042697 0.045528
2025-08-31 0.025699 0.029350 0.033126 0.037307 0.041791 0.046442 0.051615
2025-09-07 0.022853 0.027261 0.031932 0.037216 0.042995 0.049095 0.055988
2025-09-14 0.020377 0.025286 0.030602 0.036728 0.043540 0.050834 0.059185
2025-09-21 0.018351 0.023627 0.029454 0.036283 0.043988 0.052341 0.062010
2025-09-28 0.016239 0.021716 0.027888 0.035242 0.043658 0.052890 0.063687
2025-10-05 0.015415 0.021235 0.027896 0.035933 0.045228 0.055512 0.067631
2025-10-12 0.014479 0.020554 0.027615 0.036242 0.046319 0.057563 0.070904
2025-10-19 0.013355 0.019575 0.026927 0.036023 0.046759 0.058838 0.073272
2025-10-26 0.012850 0.019327 0.027083 0.036775 0.048306 0.061363 0.077049
2025-11-02 0.012134 0.018771 0.026832 0.037012 0.049227 0.063150 0.079968
2025-11-09 0.011266 0.017975 0.026248 0.036816 0.049608 0.064290 0.082126
2025-11-16 0.010466 0.017266 0.025791 0.036808 0.050268 0.065827 0.084837
2025-11-23 0.009612 0.016451 0.025178 0.036602 0.050693 0.067101 0.087269
2025-11-30 0.008883 0.015760 0.024687 0.036513 0.051232 0.068489 0.089815
2025-12-07 0.008052 0.014878 0.023909 0.036030 0.051263 0.069251 0.091609
2025-12-14 0.007306 0.014069 0.023190 0.035591 0.051320 0.070023 0.093398
2025-12-21 0.006406 0.012976 0.022045 0.034562 0.050612 0.069849 0.094039
2025-12-28 0.006173 0.012867 0.022224 0.035245 0.052039 0.072252 0.097754
2026-01-04 0.005829 0.012565 0.022123 0.035550 0.052981 0.074063 0.100757
2026-01-11 0.005341 0.012007 0.021643 0.035333 0.053249 0.075039 0.102752
2026-01-18 0.005183 0.011967 0.021885 0.036077 0.054738 0.077513 0.106554
2026-01-25 0.004882 0.011675 0.021756 0.036312 0.055569 0.079175 0.109373